Around the ACC: Week 4

0

ACC non-conference record last week: 9-2

ACC non-conference season record: 37-8

Best bet this week: North Carolina -1.5

Thursday

Virginia Tech (2-1) vs. West Virginia (1-2)

Spread: West Virginia -1.5 (-115)

Moneyline: West Virginia (-125), Virginia Tech (+105)

Total: 50

Virginia Tech lost 33-10 to West Virginia at home last night. The Hokies could only muster 228 yards of offense, only 35 of them rushing. In turn, West Virginia was able to run for 217 yards on her own.

While the first half was reasonably close, a 20-3 second half by the Mountaineers moved Virginia Tech to 2-2 on the year. They are traveling to North Carolina next week.

Friday

Syracuse (3-0) vs. Virginia (2-1)

Difference: Syracuse -9.5 (-110)

Moneyline: Syracuse (-360), Virginia (+280)

Overall: 53.5

All betting odds provided by The Action Network

Time/Channel: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN

Syracuse continues to be one of the ACC’s biggest surprises this season — they won 32-29 in spectacular fashion against a legitimate Big Ten team at Purdue to continue their undefeated start. Quarterback Garrett Shrader connected with Oronde Gasden II from 25 yards out with seven seconds remaining to secure the victory.

The Cavaliers narrowly avoided a double-digit upset against the pesky Old Dominion Monarchs, who upset Virginia Tech 20-17 in Week 1 behind a 26-yard field goal from kicker Brendan Farrell when time expired. Despite the win, Virginia only reached the end zone on one of her SEVEN red-zone drives and fumbled to the opposite side of the field on three occasions.

The pick: Syracuse -9.5

In the big win over Purdue, offensive player Sean Tucker only got 65 yards on 20 touches, but the Orange still managed to score hastily. Tucker should be able to get back on track this week, making a Syracuse win all the more likely.

Saturday

No. 5 Clemson (3-0) at No. 21 Wake Forest (3-0)

Spread: Clemson -7 (-110)

Moneyline: Clemson (-278), Wake Forest (+210)

Overall: 55.5

Time/Channel: 12 noon ET, ABC

Click here for our Tigers recap and here for our staff predictions.

No. 24 Pittsburgh (2-1) vs. Rhode Island (2-1)

Gap: Pittsburgh -35 (-114)

Moneyline: Not Listed

Overall: 55.5

Time/Channel: Noon ET, ACCN

After a disappointing home loss to No. 11 Tennessee, Pittsburgh bounced back, beating Western Michigan 34-13 away. With both starting quarterback Kedon Slovis and backup Nick Patti on the bench, the Panthers have given offensive control to potential running back Israel Abanikanda (133 yards and a touchdown on 33 carries) who continues to lean on a solid 2021 campaign.

Now Pitt faces the Rhode Island Rams, who haven’t played against an ACC team since 2019, a 34-17 loss to Virginia Tech.

Pick: Rhode Island +35

In their last game against a Colonial team, the Panthers beat New Hampshire 77-7 in September 2021. However, they haven’t won by more than 35.5 points since then and Slovis believes he is conservative in his return to the action. I’ll take the Rams to cover.

Duke (3-0) at Kansas (3-0)

Spread: Kansas -7 (-110)

Moneyline: Kansas (-303), Duke (+235)

Overall: 63.5

Time/Channel: Noon ET, FS1

The Blue Devils took care of business in front of a sold-out crowd last week against NC A&T with a 49-20 victory. Duke rode its rushing game for 223 yards and four touchdowns, led by quarterback Riley Leonard (two rushing touchdowns), to victory.

New head coach Mike Elko and the Blue Devils, who had the ACC’s lowest preseason win total, exceeded all expectations to start the season; they find themselves staring their mirror image of the Big 12 this week at Lance Leipoild and the undefeated Jayhawks (the Big 12’s lowest preseason win total at 2.5).

The pick: Kansas -7

Duke looked amazing in its first three games of the year, but so did Kansas. Finally playing against a team as hungry as they are, the Blue Devils will fail to keep up with a much more two-dimensional offense led by junior signalman Jalon Daniels, who has ten touchdowns and just one turnover this season.

READ: Clemson players to watch against Wake Forest

Louisville (1-2) vs. South Florida (1-2)

Difference: Louisville -14.5 (-110)

Moneyline: Louisville (-650), South Florida (+460)

Overall: 63.5

Time/Channel: Noon ET, ESPN3

Louisville lost 35-31 in an interconference battle with the Florida State Seminoles last week. Despite crucial turnover, QB Malik Cunningham showed flashes of his athletic form in 2021 — 370 total yards and three touchdowns — and the defense provided explosive plays with four sacks and ten tackles for the loss.

The Cardinals will have their hands full again this week, facing a team that pushed No. 20 Florida to the brink last week from behind 300 rushing yards. Louisville will have to rely on its powerful defense to become a double-digit favorite.

Pick: South Florida +14.5

South Florida played its best road football last week against the 24.5-point underdog Gators; they should be just as confident with a two-touchdown cushion on their first visit to Cardinal Stadium in more than a decade.

No. 25 Miami (2-1) vs. Middle Tennessee (2-1)

Spread: Miami -25.5 (-110)

Moneyline: Miami (-6678), Middle Tennessee (+1649)

Overall: 53.5

Time/Channel: 3:30 p.m. ET, ACCN

After a solid opener to their season, the Hurricanes were pretty mediocre in a 17-9 loss to No. 23 Texas A&M. In his first real test as Miami head coach, Mario Cristobal failed to prepare his team for key winning practices like red-zone scoring – three field goals and no touchdowns in four trips . The execution of the special teams was also poor; the Hurricanes missed a punt and blocked a field goal in the first half.

Pick: Miami -25.5

After last week’s disappointment, expect Cristobal and the Hurricanes to bounce back against a heavily overmatched team.

North Carolina (3-0) vs. Notre Dame (1-2)

Gap: North Carolina -2 (-110)

Moneyline: North Carolina (-125), Notre Dame (+105)

Overall: 55.5

Time/Channel: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC

Despite the departure of quarterback Sam Howell, the Tar Heels haven’t missed a beat offensively in the first three weeks of the season. They are fifth in college football in total offensive yards with 547.3 yards per game.

After a well-deserved week off, North Carolina faces a desperate Notre Dame team that lost both its desperately average starting quarterback Tyler Buchner and its top-five AP preseason rankings.

With 1,076 total yards, 12 total touchdowns and just one turnover in three games, UNC quarterback Drake Maye has a chance to improve his Heisman bid and lead his team to its first power five victory of the young season.

The pick: North Carolina -2

While the Tar Heels rank well offensively, Notre Dame is in the bottom 25 for total offense this year and the 17th-worst scoring. No matter how well the Irish play defensively, substitute Drew Pyne just won’t be able to keep up with Maye.

READ: Wake Forest OL set to face toughest test of season

Georgia Tech (1-2) at UCF (2-1)

Difference: UCF -20.5 (-110)

Moneyline: UCF (-1450), Georgia Tech (+810)

Overall: 56.5

Time/Channel: 4 p.m. ET, ESPN3

Georgia Tech was hampered 42-0 in a home turf shutout loss to No. 20 Ole Miss last week. This humiliation seems symbolic of a failed experiment of several years for Georgia Tech; that puts Geoff Collins in a hot spot with a 10-27 record in his tenure as head coach. Another suspect performance from quarterback Jeff Sims puts him at an uninspiring 26-22 touchdown-to-interception ratio in 20 games as a three-year starter.

As double-digit underdogs in UCF, the Yellow Jackets, but primarily Collins and Sims, face one of their last chances to make some noise and give hope to their injured fans.

The choice: UCF -20.5

With former Ole Miss backup quarterback John Rhys Plumlee leading the team with 304 rushing yards and three touchdowns this year, UCF should win comfortably against a poor defense.

No. 16 North Carolina State (3-0) vs. Connecticut (1-3)

Gap: North Carolina State -38.5 (-105)

Moneyline: State of North Carolina (-100,000), Connecticut (+8,000)

Overall: 49.5

Time/Channel: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN3

NC State handled Texas Tech 27-14 in another impressive performance last week. As expected, a hungry secondary Wolfpack feasted on error-prone quarterback Donovan Smith with three interceptions, one of which was returned 84 yards for a pick six. The defense also added a forced fumble and four sacks.

After a near-disastrous result at East Carolina to open the season, the Wolfpack rebranded themselves by playing clean football and posting a +6 turnover rate in their last two games. That stat includes zero giveaways by their offensive centerpiece Devin Leary. NC State has another tune-up point this week ahead of a massive matchup at No. 5 Clemson.

The Pick: North Carolina State -38.5

NC State’s defense has been dominant so far and should have no problem giving the offense enough scoring opportunities against a weak Huskies team.

READ: Deacs moves past slow performers, moves to Clemson

Florida State (3-0) vs. Boston College (1-2)

Gap: State of Florida -17.5 (-110)

Moneyline: Florida State (-1115), Boston College (+600)

Overall: 48.5

Time/Channel: 8 PM ET, ACCN

Even losing potential 2022 signalman Jordan Travis with four minutes left in the first half, substitute Tate Rodemaker and the Seminoles secured a huge 35-31 road win over Louisville.

The Eagles have had a demoralizing start to the year offensively, posting last-30 stats in key categories like yards and points per game. After a week off, Boston College will be looking to earn their first ACC win of the season as double-digit road underdogs against a menacing Florida State team.

Pick: Boston College +17.5

While Florida State showed its ability to win in a number of different ways earlier this year, Boston College should be able to keep the game close as it gets its offense, led by quarterback Phil Jurkovec and wide receiver Zay Flowers, at better pace in an early test for their bowl game hopes.

Follow @DeaconsDaily on Twitter and instagram for more Wake Forest content

Share.

Comments are closed.